Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.019482 0.021017 0.022616 0.024406 0.026355 0.028415 0.030760
2025-11-02 0.016950 0.019154 0.021570 0.024419 0.027694 0.031350 0.035750
2025-11-09 0.015024 0.017564 0.020455 0.024000 0.028244 0.033180 0.039384
2025-11-16 0.013577 0.016311 0.019517 0.023575 0.028596 0.034638 0.042508
2025-11-23 0.012593 0.015486 0.018970 0.023499 0.029268 0.036421 0.046036
2025-11-30 0.011725 0.014717 0.018402 0.023310 0.029725 0.037892 0.049186
2025-12-07 0.011010 0.014077 0.017934 0.023184 0.030207 0.039370 0.052377
2025-12-14 0.010361 0.013471 0.017457 0.022991 0.030556 0.040650 0.055333
2025-12-21 0.009881 0.013051 0.017188 0.023040 0.031205 0.042338 0.058913
2025-12-28 0.009386 0.012578 0.016812 0.022909 0.031577 0.043635 0.061985
2026-01-04 0.008974 0.012192 0.016528 0.022876 0.032067 0.045101 0.065359
2026-01-11 0.008638 0.011893 0.016342 0.022961 0.032714 0.046806 0.069162
2026-01-18 0.008266 0.011536 0.016077 0.022947 0.033257 0.048448 0.073078
2026-01-25 0.007913 0.011192 0.015815 0.022923 0.033786 0.050104 0.077136
2026-02-01 0.007480 0.010709 0.015323 0.022526 0.033718 0.050832 0.079751
2026-02-08 0.007082 0.010256 0.014852 0.022129 0.033617 0.051487 0.082267
2026-02-15 0.006802 0.009964 0.014605 0.022058 0.034013 0.052936 0.086171
2026-02-22 0.006515 0.009648 0.014303 0.021883 0.034225 0.054087 0.089626
2026-03-01 0.006263 0.009373 0.014049 0.021765 0.034517 0.055373 0.093381
2026-03-08 0.006012 0.009088 0.013767 0.021585 0.034691 0.056461 0.096842
2026-03-15 0.005830 0.008902 0.013630 0.021631 0.035239 0.058202 0.101575
2026-03-22 0.005621 0.008664 0.013399 0.021508 0.035489 0.059436 0.105447
2026-03-29 0.005445 0.008471 0.013229 0.021478 0.035891 0.060950 0.109928